Saturday 4 January 2014

Technical Analysis - Price And Spread

For any investor trading in any market price is the crucial and important point. For the buyer it is always a job where he would like to get the best deal without enough loosing up his pocket. While for the seller it would be just an opposite case where he would be keen to get as much as he can on his stuff. The only time a deal is fixed when both the buyer and the seller are ready on a particular price. When we talk about Forex here money is in the form of goods, but the principle of trading is just like any other trading. The only difference is that here one currency is considered against the other.

The only query an investor is considerate about is “how the price will fluctuate”? If he thinks that the currency is about to boost against the other one he would buy it else if he thinks that it will be depreciated then he will sell it.



For an investor to judge about the fluctuations of the currency he should know how it is formed and on what factors it depends on. A very basic proposed theory is that the present value of currency replicates about all the factors which can influence the price, such as economic, technical, political, natural and other. Sometimes it is very difficult for an investor to keep in mind all the factors at a same time.

Let us take an example to understand the concept (on just technical analysis and regardless fundamental knowledge). In the above taken situation and an absolutely free market the price depends on demand and supply. Demand as the name suggests it is the total volume of the financial instrument that traders in the market will want to get in the future. It is determined on the basis of claims for purchase set at the market. Supply, on the other hand, is a total volume of this financial instrument that is set for selling by traders.

The demand and supply can be explained as:-

·      The increment in demand will lead to increase in the prices.

·      The increment in supply signifies decrease in prices.

Whereas Spread can be defined as the difference between the minimum prices and to sell at the peak price of demand. This difference will always be fluctuating as the market tends to counterfeit ahead. Let us take an example, suppose the price of EUR/USD is equal to 1.35513/1.35550. It means that during this period it is possible to but euro at the price of 1.35550(lowest price at which it can be buyed) and it is possible to sell it at the price of 1.35513(highest price at which it can be sold by an investor).

But in case an investor is not interested in buying at a price of 1.35550 he can set an order for purchase at the level of 1.35500 and wait until the price is reached at this level. This situation will arise only when demand it constant, and the supply is increased. In such cases the sellers will not have any option other than lowering the price to 1.35500

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